METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF THE RESEARCH OF THE CYCLE OF DEVELOPMENT OF UKRAINIAN ECONOMY AND THE BRANCHES OF THE FOOD INDUSTRY
Keywords:
business climate indicator, business cycle, Hodrick-Prescott filter, business cycle phases, the Business Cycle Tracer graph, investment attractiveness, reputation of the countryAbstract
The article describes the algorithm for building a business climate indicator in SPSS and the Business Cycle Tracer graph in MS Excel. The business cycle phases are determined basing on the Hodrick-Prescott filter adjusted for the Ukrainian economy for the period from the 3rd quarter of 2002 to the 2nd quarter of 2017. It also analyzes the main macro indicators for each phase of the business cycle and the main indicators of the development of food industry. As a result, a number of measures have been proposed at the state level to improve the efficiency of domestic enterprises.
Downloads
References
Современный экономический словарь/ Б.А. Райзберг, Л.Ш. Лозовский, Е.Б.Стародубцева. – 6-e изд., перераб. и доп. – М.: ИНФРА-М, 2008. – 512 с.
Пугачова, М.В. Нові інструменти вимірювання бізнес-цикла / М. В.Пугачова // Статистика України. – 2012. – № 3. – с. 35-43.
Пестова, А. Предсказание поворотных точек бизнес-цикла: помогают ли переменные финансового сектора? [Електронний ресурс]. – Режим доступу: http:// www.forecast.ru/_ARCHIVE/ Analitics/Pestova/pestova7-13.pdf.
Pieter Vlag, Geert Bruinooge, Kees Zeelenberg, Symon Algera, Ben van Cleef Tracing and explaining business cycles, a factsheet with rapid estimates [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу: https://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/ workshops/2009/ottawa/ac188-s411.pdf
The joint harmonized EU program of business and consumer surveys: user guide. – Brussels: European commission, directorate general for economic and financial affairs, 2014 [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_ finance/db_ indicators/ surveys/documents/bcs_user_guide_en.pdf.
Методика розрахунку індикаторів ділових очікувань згідно з вимогами розширеного спеціального стандарту поширення даних міжнародного валютного фонду, затверджена наказом Держстату від 30.12.2014 №411. – 56 с.
Наследов А. IBM SPSS Statistics 20 и AMOS: профессиональный статистический анализ данных. – спб.: Питер, 2013. – 416 с.
Report: the economic climate tracer. A tool to visualise the cyclical stance of the economy using survey data [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_ finance/db_indicators/surveys/documents/studies/economic_climate_ tracer_en.pdf.
Статистический анализ статистических наблюдений [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу: http://www.sngmuslims.com/ etot-kriteriy-osobenno-udoben.html.
Базилевич, В.Д. Політична теорія: політекономія [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу: http://pidruchniki.ws/ 1753060739985/politekonomiya/klasifikatsiya_ekonomichnih_tsikliv_trivalistyu_harakteristika_seredni_tsikli_fazi.
Nilsson, R. Business tendency surveys in oecd cou.ntries methodological review [електронний ресурс]. – режим доступу:http://www.eclac.cl/deype/noticias/noticias/ 4/8874/ oecd21.pdf.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Licensing and Copyright
The collection provides immediate open access, ensuring that the content is freely available to the global community, facilitating a broader exchange of knowledge in accordance with the principles of open science.
By submitting an article to the editors of the collection, authors confirm that the manuscript has not been submitted to other publications and grant the journal the right of first publication in accordance with the terms of the Copyright Transfer Agreement.
Copyright. Authors retain full copyright to their articles without restriction and simultaneously grant the journal a non-exclusive license for publication, distribution, and indexing.
Licensing. The collection publishes articles under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) license.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.uk
This license permits:
- copying and distributing the material in any medium or format;
- use of the material for educational and research purposes.
- Subject to the following conditions:
- attribution of the author, source, and license link;
- noncommercial use;
- no distribution of modified material (no derivatives).
First Publication Rights. Authors grant the collection “Food Resources” first publication rights, these allowing the collection to distribute the scientific material with attribution of authorship and the original publication in the collection.
Self-Archiving. Authors may upload any version of their articles (preprint, postprint, or published version) to institutional, disciplinary, or personal repositories without embargo, provided they indicate that the article was published in the collection "Food Resources" and include the CC BY-NC-ND license.
ISSN
ISSN 




